Idea 1
When Evidence Goes Missing
Why do so many medical decisions rest on distorted or incomplete information? In his deep investigation of the modern pharmaceutical evidence system, Ben Goldacre argues that medicine has been systematically misled — not by a few rogue actors, but by ordinary institutional incentives that favour positive results, obscure negative findings, and let secrecy thrive. The book reveals that clinical evidence, instead of being a transparent record of discovery, is often a curated story where industries, regulators, journals, and even universities participate in selective storytelling. Understanding this requires seeing how multiple failures interact: selective publication, bad trial design, institutional complicity, weak regulatory enforcement, and the pervasive influence of marketing.
The Evidence Distortion Cycle
The first distortion begins with industry-funded research. Systematic reviews consistently show that company-sponsored trials are more likely to report favourable results — not because drugs magically work better under corporate sponsorship, but because companies control what is studied, how it’s analysed, and what gets published. Selective publication, biased comparators, and post-hoc analytic flexibility create an illusion of consistent success. Individual doctors reading the literature rarely see the dozens of invisible negative trials that never reached print.
The next distortion arrives through institutional silence. Universities, journals, and ethics committees — institutions designed to uphold integrity — often sign contracts giving sponsors power to block or delay publication. When researchers fight for access to data, they can face retaliation. Patients who consented under the promise of helping science are misled when sponsors retain control of results. Each layer protects commercial confidentiality over collective safety.
What Missing Data Costs Real People
The harm of hidden trials is not abstract. Goldacre recounts the story of reboxetine, an antidepressant once prescribed in good faith by doctors. Published data made it seem effective; the full dataset later showed that the majority of trials were negative and unpublished. Patients had been exposed to a drug that offered no benefit and more harm. Similar tragedies — from the TGN1412 immune disaster in healthy volunteers to the lorcainide anti-arrhythmic study that presaged 100,000 excess deaths from successor drugs — show that every missing dataset is a potential catastrophe delayed.
At the population level, the cumulative cost is staggering: wasted billions on marginal or ineffective therapies, distorted guidelines, and a betrayal of the social contract between patients and medicine. These are not peripheral problems of academic integrity — they are central to how health systems allocate trust, money, and care.
Regulatory and Cultural Complicity
Regulators, whose mission is to guard the public, often become inadvertent gatekeepers of secrecy. Agencies such as the EMA and MHRA hold vast troves of Clinical Study Reports (CSRs) — the comprehensive trial dossiers that show everything from protocols to adverse event logs — yet routinely block access under the banner of commercial confidentiality. In cases like paroxetine in children or Tamiflu for influenza, regulators and manufacturers long withheld critical data while governments spent hundreds of millions based on incomplete evidence.
Attempts to fix transparency — trial registries, publication rules, and registration mandates — often became what Goldacre calls “fake fixes.” Without vigilant enforcement and retrospective coverage of old trials, registries like clinicaltrials.gov or EudraCT create an appearance of openness but leave most missing data unrecovered. The right laws without the will to apply them become theatre.
The Deep Structure of Bias
Even published trials can mislead. Design choices — surrogate endpoints, idealised patients, weak comparators — and analytic tricks like outcome switching or subgroup dredging can turn a neutral result into “proof” of efficacy. Marketing-driven “seeding trials” blur the line between research and salesmanship, while ghostwriting, reprint sales, and conflicted continuing medical education (CME) shape doctors’ perceptions long after the data leave the lab.
Underlying all of it is a conflict of interest structure that normalises bias while denying its influence. Financial ties, professional incentives, and institutional dependence on industry funding make distortion predictable. Transparency is therefore not an optional virtue; it’s the minimum condition for scientific trust.
Rebuilding Trust
Goldacre’s solution is neither cynicism nor simple regulation. It’s a systematic cleanup: full public disclosure of all past and present trials, open access to CSRs, independent auditing of trial registries, named payments from companies to doctors, and embedded pragmatic trials that use routine health data to test real-world questions. The message is blunt but hopeful — evidence-based medicine can only fulfil its promise when the evidence itself is open to scrutiny.
Central Idea
Medicine fails when data are distorted or missing. The cure is radical transparency — not just for future trials, but for the millions of patients whose care still depends on hidden evidence from the past.
This is a call to civic engagement as much as to scientific integrity: if you care about safer drugs, fairer decisions, and honest science, you must demand that every trial — past, present, and future — be open to view.